2017 Fearless Forecast in Review

December 20, 2017

Last December, we made some bold predictions for 2017 – and here’s how we fared.

To see our bold predictions for 2018, click here.

Think Different: Alphabet will overtake Apple. While both Alphabet and Apple had stellar years, Alphabet’s stock as of Dec.thumbs-down1 hada $727 billion market cap while Apple was sitting with an $872 billion valuation. Some analysts say Apple’s ability to succeed in China, despite Amazon and Facebook’s domination of domestic markets, makes overtaking the Cupertino-based company in the race to a $1 trillion market cap an uphill battle — or, the September release of the iPhone X may have been just enough to save Apple from a year to forget.

FDOTUS becomes the new acronym to know. We predicted that the Trump children (Ivanka, Eric and Donald Jr.) would have athumbs-downmoresignificant role to play in the Trump administration than the First Lady of the United States. This has proven true, with FLOTUS MelaniaTrump taking a lower profile than any other in recent memory. Meanwhile, the Trump kids seem to make news on a consistent basis. Where we erred was in believing First Daughter of the United States Ivanka would become known as our FDOTUS. That’s a moniker still waiting to happen.

The Indians will win the World Series … in 2056. The Cleveland Indians entered post-season play as defending American League Thumbs UP champs, World Series runner-ups and favorites to win it all in 2017. Their pedigree was impeccable: a 102-60 record during the regular season, Cy Young winner-to-be Corey Kluber on the mound, and a lineup that decimated opponents at home and on the road all year. Alas, Cleveland won the first two games of a five-game divisional series against the Yankees before the Bronx Bombers came back to sweep the last three, causing Cleveland to miss out on the big prize for the 69th year in a row. Our prediction remains intact for at least another 39 years.

Hip-hop will get political again. Whether it was the presidential election, the Women’s March or racial tension, rap music was indeedThumbs UPinfused with protest and political statements that began percolating in November of 2016 and boiled over throughout the year. Led by 2017’s most prominent rapper, Kendrick Lamar, and including Run the Jewels, Vince Staples, and Eminem, hip-hop had much to say about current events and public affairs. There also were new and old voices beyond hip-hop, including Algiers, ENTRANCE, Fiona Apple, Bruce Springsteen, Willie Nelson and – with her first song in 25 years – Joan Baez who used their microphones as bullhorns.

Reality TV will jump the shark. As the “unscripted” reality TV format approaches two decades of air time, that maturity comes with aThumbs UPprice. It’s no longer novel, nimble or as cheap as it once was. Meanwhile, original scripted programming is enjoying a resurgence. Netflix reported 140 million hours – per day – of streaming globally by subscribers in 2017. Viewers indulged by questioning 13 Reasons Why, getting nostalgic with the ’80s sci-fi series Stranger Things, and anticipating the next installment of HBO’s Game of Thrones. But the questions nobody seems to be asking are: who’ll win Survivor 35, when is Big Brother 20 coming, and was that really “the most dramatic rose ceremony ever”?

thumbs-downFamous people will phone it in instead. While a number of celebrities have famously quit social media (Twitter hasn’t been the same without Lindsay Lohan), we are unaware of any who have announced they quit using email in order to avoid hackers. Anyway, hackers were far more focused on leaking nude photos in 2017 than poorly-conceived emails.