Werth Poll

May 2016 Werth Poll, Part 3 of 4: Ohioans Less Opposed to Increased Gas Tax in 2016

June 16, 2016

Our recent survey revealed that although Ohioans still oppose an increase in the gas tax, they are significantly less opposed than they were 17 years ago. When we asked the question in 1999, 71 percent were against an increase. Our recent poll reflects this opposition at 52.6 percent.

We wondered if an increase in the Ohio motor fuel tax rate would result in an identical increase in the price per gallon. Logic and common sense says yes. In reality it doesn’t appear that way.

With the exception of Kentucky, all our surrounding states have a higher state gas tax. Pennsylvania has the highest rate in the nation levied at 50.4 cents per gallon… 80 percent higher than the 28 cents per gallon Ohioans pay.Werth Poll Graphics_2 2a

All things being equal, one would expect a gallon of gas in Pennsylvania to cost 22 cents more per gallon. However, on May 26, 2016 the average price per gallon reported on the AAA Daily Fuel Gauge Report for Pennsylvania is actually 6 cents less than the average price in Ohio.

Clearly there are multiple market forces that play into the cost of gasoline. And just as clear, Ohio roads need to be repaired. The American Society of Civil Engineers in 2013 issued a report card on our roads that estimates an investment of $170 billion annually is needed to significantly improve conditions.

Perhaps by better understanding what an increase in the gas tax will and will not do, Ohioans can navigate this road more comfortably and realize necessary improvements without realizing a matching increase in the cost of gas.

Below are the details of the survey. Stay tuned next week as we reveal part 4 of the spring Werth Poll.

Ohio Statewide Survey
5/10/16 – 5/14/2016
N=803, +/- 3.45%
Registered Voters
(Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.)

Gas Tax Crosstabs2.xlsx

This survey research data was gathered through telephone interviews that specially-trained interviewers conducted with 803 randomly-selected registered voters in the State of Ohio with histories of voting in recent even-year November general elections or were recent new registrants, who had valid residential, VOIP or cellular telephone numbers. The interviews were performed during the period of May 10, 2016 through May 14, 2016. The overall estimated margin of sampling error is +/- 3.45%, based on a confidence level of 95%, although it varies for each individual question. This means that if this survey was repeated, 95 times out of 100 the results would be within plus or minus 3.45% of those provided herein. Adjustments were made to weight the results toward demographic and geographic characteristics of the state’s electorate, in order to account for under- and over-sampling that normally occurs as a result of the random selection process, and to ensure that all major sub-groups are represented in proportion to their actual percentages. Like all polls, this opinion survey research is subject to other possible sources of error, such as unintentional bias in the wording of questions, data-entry error and nonresponse bias.

For past results, visit our Werth Poll page at http://www.paulwerth.com/category/werth-poll/